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Post by robjohnson on Sept 10, 2018 19:00:09 GMT -5
Been thinking.
What if you have a 1 in 5 chance of finding the treasure for your search area. After all, ff was given a 20% (1 divided by 5) chance to survive cancer (pg. 128 ttotc).
If you’re following, then your target area should have 5 spots to search, 5 spots that make sense. Maybe if we don’t have 5 spots that make sense within a reasonable search area, say for discussion 1 to 5 miles or so of each other, then maybe that search area should be discarded as a possible solution to the chase. Put another way, maybe heavy loads and high water solve five different ways, with a blaze at each of 5 spots. But only 1 out of 5 is correct. And put another way, if you have only one solution that can be correct for your search area, do we discard the search area? Foolish stuff?
And then, only the last inch counts. But I've been counting five different inches.
Rabbit hole - and this is why paraphrased, we must have BOTG according to ff. We can armchair the 5 different solves, but BOTG gets us to the true solution.
What do you think?
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Post by drpepperwood on Sept 10, 2018 20:21:27 GMT -5
Been thinking. What if you have a 1 in 5 chance of finding the treasure for your search area. After all, ff was given a 20% (1 divided by 5) chance to survive cancer (pg. 128 ttotc). If you’re following, then your target area should have 5 spots to search, 5 spots that make sense. Maybe if we don’t have 5 spots that make sense within a reasonable search area, say for discussion 1 to 5 miles or so of each other, then maybe that search area should be discarded as a possible solution to the chase. Put another way, maybe heavy loads and high water solve five different ways, with a blaze at each of 5 spots. But only 1 out of 5 is correct. And put another way, if you have only one solution that can be correct for your search area, do we discard the search area? Foolish stuff? And then, only the last inch counts. But I've been counting five different inches. Rabbit hole - and this is why paraphrased, we must have BOTG according to ff. We can armchair the 5 different solves, but BOTG gets us to the true solution. What do you think? Do mean 5 solves? I am not sure if I understand. |
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Post by drpepperwood on Sept 10, 2018 20:24:46 GMT -5
So lets say Hebgen Lake/Quake Lake is my target area. Then I would have five areas to search within in that area? I think it would be more like moving in confidence. IMO One will know it's right before boots on the ground.
There would be no way I would go out not-in-less I had a solid lead. It's like a FF example of measuring a horses hoof to make a horse shoe for the horse.
IMO It just doesn't make sense to me to go out in some unfamiliar area without a solid lead. I understand the thrill of the chase and have a thrill
doing that right here at home. If I want to find nature and the woods I have all that right out my door. Tons of things around here to marvel gaze at.
IMO I believe one can find the meaning of the poem that will give them a solid lead even if they solve the first two clues and the hints.
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Post by robjohnson on Sept 11, 2018 7:33:04 GMT -5
Been thinking. What if you have a 1 in 5 chance of finding the treasure for your search area. After all, ff was given a 20% (1 divided by 5) chance to survive cancer (pg. 128 ttotc). If you’re following, then your target area should have 5 spots to search, 5 spots that make sense. Maybe if we don’t have 5 spots that make sense within a reasonable search area, say for discussion 1 to 5 miles or so of each other, then maybe that search area should be discarded as a possible solution to the chase. Put another way, maybe heavy loads and high water solve five different ways, with a blaze at each of 5 spots. But only 1 out of 5 is correct. And put another way, if you have only one solution that can be correct for your search area, do we discard the search area? Foolish stuff? And then, only the last inch counts. But I've been counting five different inches. Rabbit hole - and this is why paraphrased, we must have BOTG according to ff. We can armchair the 5 different solves, but BOTG gets us to the true solution. What do you think? Do mean 5 solves? I am not sure if I understand. Yes, 5 solves that seem to make sense, but only one is the correct one. Let's say the 5 solves begin after below home of Brown. |
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Post by robjohnson on Sept 11, 2018 7:47:01 GMT -5
So lets say Hebgen Lake/Quake Lake is my target area. Then I would have five areas to search within in that area? I think it would be more like moving in confidence. IMO One will know it's right before boots on the ground. There would be no way I would go out not-in-less I had a solid lead. It's like a FF example of measuring a horses hoof to make a horse shoe for the horse. IMO It just doesn't make sense to me to go out in some unfamiliar area without a solid lead. I understand the thrill of the chase and have a thrill doing that right here at home. If I want to find nature and the woods I have all that right out my door. Tons of things around here to marvel gaze at. IMO I believe one can find the meaning of the poem that will give them a solid lead even if they solve the first two clues and the hints. Yes I agree about moving with confidence. But nothing precludes 5 spots in moving with confidence. I can move with confidence by checking 5 spots. My thought of 5 spots is because of the fact ff wrote 1 in 5. I have been under the belief that 1 exact spot is the proper way to solve the chase. But then maybe I, and we, have not listened good enough to what ff is saying. And I was thinking that maybe if there are a potential 5 spots, that would be a more promising area than an area with only 1 spot. This logic might help searchers with there solution(s). But I do not claim this logic as fact. But I now cannot rule out this thought at this point in time. FF wrote 4 cards and a joker pg. 5 (ttotc) - 5 cards. What if 5 solves is the closest that we can get before BOTG? |
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Post by robjohnson on Sept 11, 2018 8:11:10 GMT -5
Let's look a this another way.
Pg. 89 ttotc - in the attack at Tchepone, 20mm bullets with blasts lethal within 20 feet.
And what is the success rate that this mission would have to take out the guns while flying in dangerous air, and survive. The message just might be a 20% success/survival rate.
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Post by drpepperwood on Sept 11, 2018 9:11:36 GMT -5
Very good stuff. I like where this thought is going.
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Post by robjohnson on Sept 11, 2018 9:52:20 GMT -5
So our mission has a 20% chance of success, just like ff's. But with all 5 spots, we achieve 100%. We are flying in Laos. Maybe the joker card represents the bailout.
I am still trying to gain more confidence on one particular spot, but that has been a rabbit hole in and of itself.
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Post by robjohnson on Sept 11, 2018 10:10:45 GMT -5
To be successful on ff's cancer surgery, the 1 hour operation turned into 5 hours - pg. 128 ttotc.
Had to get all the spots.
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Post by goldwatch on Sept 11, 2018 11:12:48 GMT -5
I like it. I like it a lot.
If this is the case, will anyone every figure out the Correct Solve? Because if each solve is as hard as shown, then to do it 5 times, that seems like quite a lot of effort.
I'd like to remind of the fact that false treasure rooms were almost always a part of real life hidden treasures. Tut's tomb had two false treasure rooms before the final trove.
Maybe that's why Forrest spoke of a thousand years.
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Post by heidini on Sept 11, 2018 12:55:45 GMT -5
Maybe that's why Forrest spoke of a thousand years. Spoke- I instantly thought of spokes coming from the center of a bicycle tire. |
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Post by robjohnson on Sept 11, 2018 12:57:54 GMT -5
I like it. I like it a lot. If this is the case, will anyone every figure out the Correct Solve? Because if each solve is as hard as shown, then to do it 5 times, that seems like quite a lot of effort. I'd like to remind of the fact that false treasure rooms were almost always a part of real life hidden treasures. Tut's tomb had two false treasure rooms before the final trove. Maybe that's why Forrest spoke of a thousand years. Maybe once you have 5 spots in your target area, then that is the time for BOTG. Then, a thousand years turns into now. So for drpepperwood's example of Hebgen/Earthquake Lakes, 5 spots for heavy loads/water high to blaze(s)? to treasure. One should be correct. And these 5 spots when viewed as a whole might give us a bigger picture, as we marry these spots to a map. Just thinking. My spots have numerical meaning, they make sense. So how do we choose? Thence ff's comment that we must have BOTG, because each spot only has a 20% chance. Imagine the kind of intel his mission briefs gave. With armies moving, the guns being repositioned, new guns being brought to the field, intel can only get you so far. The pilots, like Fenn, then had to make tactical judgements on the fly. Thus dangerous air. |
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Post by robjohnson on Sept 11, 2018 13:16:03 GMT -5
Let me clarify - no 5 spots where warm waters halt. Begin the 5 spots after home of Brown.
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Post by goldwatch on Sept 11, 2018 15:27:37 GMT -5
Let me clarify - no 5 spots where warm waters halt. Begin the 5 spots after home of Brown. Why? Couldn't they start at WWWH? |
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Post by drpepperwood on Sept 11, 2018 15:57:02 GMT -5
Let me clarify - no 5 spots where warm waters halt. Begin the 5 spots after home of Brown. Why? Couldn't they start at WWWH? My spots kind of doesn't because I took the first two clues to get to the one big area or spot. |
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